Macro Notes

Macro Notes

Why I Read Elon Musk's Biography Seven Times Before Investing in Tesla

Nov 04, 2025
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Let me tell you about the most valuable investment research I’ve ever done.

It didn’t involve financial models. It didn’t involve P/E ratios or DCF calculations. It didn’t involve reading analyst reports or watching CNBC.

It started with a 400-page book: Elon Musk: Tesla, SpaceX, and the Quest for a Fantastic Future by Ashlee Vance, published in May 2015. I read it seven times. Not once to get the story. Not twice to take notes. Seven complete, obsessive read-throughs, each time focusing on different patterns, different decisions, different moments that revealed how Elon Musk actually thinks.

Then I read five more books. I listened to over 50 hours of podcast interviews with former Tesla employees—from the customer support manager who worked there in 2014 to executives who sat in product strategy meetings. I tracked down interviews with early SpaceX engineers, PayPal colleagues, Tesla factory workers.

My friends thought I’d lost my mind. My family asked if I was writing a dissertation. But I was doing something far more practical: I was trying to cut through the noise and understand the business fundamentals that actually matter.

Because here’s what I’ve realized after years of concentrated investing: while everyone is arguing about Elon Musk’s tweets, his political statements, his personal life, his public persona—they’re completely missing what actually determines Tesla’s future value.

They’re missing the business fundamentals. They’re missing the decision-making patterns. They’re missing the operational excellence that built this company. They’re missing everything that actually matters for long-term returns.

Today, I want to show you a different way to analyze companies—not through the lens of quarterly earnings and media headlines, but through deep psychological understanding of the people who run them. Because if you can cut through the noise and understand who is building a company and why they’ve succeeded, you’ll have better information than 99% of investors.

The Elon Musk Noise Problem

Here’s the challenge with analyzing Tesla: Elon Musk might be the most media-saturated CEO in history.

Every day, there’s a new headline:

  • “Musk tweets controversial statement”

  • “Elon Musk changes company name”

  • “Musk appears on podcast making bold claims”

  • “Political figure criticizes/praises Musk”

  • “Musk’s latest project announcement”

And every day, millions of investors make decisions based on this noise. They buy when he tweets something optimistic. They sell when he says something controversial. They form opinions about Tesla based on Musk’s public persona, his political stances, his media appearances.

This is exactly backwards.

The media circus around Musk is the largest smoke screen in modern investing. While everyone is focused on the spectacle, they’re missing the fundamental business execution that has made Tesla one of the most valuable companies in the world.

Let me give you a concrete example. In 2021-2022, Musk bought Twitter (now X). The media went insane. Headlines screamed about distraction, about divided attention, about Tesla suffering. Tesla’s stock dropped significantly, partly due to these concerns.

But here’s what the noise drowned out: during this exact same period, Tesla:

  • Opened two massive new factories (Berlin and Austin)

  • Scaled production to over 1.8 million vehicles annually

  • Achieved industry-leading operating margins (above 15%)

  • Advanced Full Self-Driving capabilities significantly

  • Maintained its position as the world’s most valuable auto company

The fundamentals weren’t just holding—they were accelerating. But the noise was so loud that most investors couldn’t see it.

This is why I spent months reading Ashlee Vance’s 2015 biography seven times. Because that book, written when Musk wasn’t yet a global media figure, focuses on something far more valuable than headlines: how Musk actually builds companies.

What Traditional Analysis Misses

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